Matt de GramontVirginia: a story of asymmetrical turnoutOne of the surprising things about Glenn Youngkin’s victory in the Virginia governorial election is that he did not do the things that a…·11 min read·Nov 7, 2021----
Matt de GramontThe Democracy and the ‘bellwether belts’Shortly after the 2012 election, Jacopo della Quercia defined Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio as the ‘Bellwether Belt’, because…·7 min read·Nov 25, 2020----
Matt de GramontMagic…Port Angeles?Votes are still trickling in from the 2020 election, but it appears that there is enough certainty to say that Clallam County, Washington…·12 min read·Nov 24, 2020----
Matt de GramontHow Ohio-y is Ohio?Here, I discussed what state was most analogous to Ohio for the Democracy, in the sense that it was nearly the case (or had remained the…·13 min read·Nov 18, 2020----
Matt de GramontThe Democrats’ OhioEvery election, we can rely on someone remarking that no Republican has ever won the White House without Ohio (although, if Ohio is…·8 min read·Nov 16, 2020----
Matt de GramontThe counties that will decide the 2020 electionIn the 2012 election season, there were a plethora of analyses of specific counties Romney was thought to have to flip to win battleground…·29 min read·Oct 31, 2020----